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Swindon Town among worst under-performers for 'expected points' in League Two... but does this teach us anything?
According to the Opta formula, Town really ought to be sitting comfortably in 10th place in the division, with 14 points (13.8 to be precise – yes, you can get decimal places in the expected table). What’s actually happened? Hmm, yes, we all know the answer to this one.
10.10.24, 16:40 9 Min Read
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by Sam MorsheadEditor
To those with an aversion to xG, look away now. To the rest, you are invited into the land of the theoretical.
This week, Opta produced their ‘expected points’ table for League Two, and it makes for interesting reading.
While appreciating xG and xPoints models do not convince everyone, and that ultimately it is how many wins a team achieves in real life that determines league position, the Opta data does have a handful of benefits.
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